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Probability and combinations calculator

Count combinations and permutations with or without repetition, arrangements of repeated items, binomial probabilities and the probability and odds of a simple event, with exact big numbers.

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How to use it

  1. Choose combinations, permutations, arrangements, binomial or simple probability.
  2. Enter n and r, the group sizes, or the success probability.
  3. Tick With repetition if items can repeat.
  4. Read the exact count or the probability.
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Combinations vs. permutations

The key question is whether order matters.

  • Combinations (nCr): order does not matter. Choosing 5 lottery numbers or a 5-card poker hand.
  • Permutations (nPr): order matters. Awarding gold, silver and bronze, or setting a 4-digit PIN.
FormulaOrder matters?Repetition?
C(n, r) = n! / (r! (n − r)!)NoNo
C(n + r − 1, r)NoYes
P(n, r) = n! / (n − r)!YesNo
n^rYesYes

Results are exact even when they run to hundreds of digits, because the calculator uses big-integer math in your browser.

Examples

  • Poker hands: C(52, 5) = 2,598,960 possible 5-card hands.
  • Powerball: choosing 5 white balls from 69 gives C(69, 5) = 11,238,513 combinations. Multiply by the 26 possible red Powerballs and the jackpot odds are 1 in 292,201,338.
  • Medals: 10 runners, gold, silver and bronze: P(10, 3) = 10 × 9 × 8 = 720 ways.
  • PIN codes: 4 digits with repetition: 10⁴ = 10,000.
  • Ice cream: 3 scoops from 8 flavors, repeats allowed, order ignored: C(10, 3) = 120.

Arrangements with repeated items

To count the distinct orders of items when some are identical, divide n! by the factorial of each group size.

Example: the letters of BOOK (B, O, O, K) can be arranged in 4! / 2! = 12 ways; enter the group sizes 1, 2, 1.

MISSISSIPPI has 11 letters: M once, I four times, S four times, P twice. That gives 11! / (1! · 4! · 4! · 2!) = 34,650 arrangements.

Binomial probability

Use the binomial mode when you repeat an experiment n times, each trial has two outcomes, and the success probability p stays the same.

P(X = k) = C(n, k) · p^k · (1 − p)^(n − k)

Example: flip a fair coin 10 times. The probability of exactly 5 heads is C(10, 5) / 2¹⁰ = 252 / 1,024 ≈ 24.61%. The calculator also shows P(X ≤ k), P(X ≥ k) and the expected value n · p.

Simple probability and odds

For equally likely outcomes, probability = favorable outcomes / total outcomes. Rolling a 6 on a die: 1/6 ≈ 16.67%. The complement, not rolling a 6, is 5/6 ≈ 83.33%.

Odds compare favorable to unfavorable outcomes: 1 : 5 for rolling a 6. Odds and probability are not the same thing, which is a common source of confusion; betting odds also include the bookmaker's margin.

For factorials on their own, use the factorial calculator.

Common mistakes

  • Using permutations when order does not matter. That overcounts by a factor of r!. A 3-person committee from 10 people is C(10, 3) = 120, not P(10, 3) = 720.
  • Adding probabilities of events that can happen together. P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A and B).
  • The gambler's fallacy. After five heads in a row, the next fair coin flip is still 50% heads; independent trials have no memory.
  • Confusing odds with probability. Odds of 1 : 5 mean a probability of 1/6, not 1/5.
  • Forgetting the complement. The chance of at least one six in four rolls is easiest as 1 − (5/6)⁴ ≈ 51.8%.

Frequently asked questions

What is the difference between a combination and a permutation?

In a combination, order does not matter; in a permutation it does. Choosing 3 people for a committee is a combination; electing a president, VP and secretary is a permutation.

How do I calculate nCr?

n! / (r! × (n − r)!). For C(10, 3): 3,628,800 / (6 × 5,040) = 120.

What are the odds of winning the Powerball jackpot?

1 in 292,201,338: C(69, 5) white-ball combinations times 26 Powerball numbers.

What is binomial probability?

The probability of exactly k successes in n independent trials with the same success probability p.

Can the results be very large?

Yes. The calculator uses exact big-integer arithmetic and also shows scientific notation for huge counts.

Last updated: November 12, 2026

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